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GeneralLive

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

3 outcomes · $280,880 24h volume
Put in any amount · it splits across 3 outcomes · you win on whichever one hits
Included marketsLive odds
September 30
23%
1.0% today
7d: +4.0%
December 31
33%
3.5% today
August 31
20%
Community164 total
C
Corny-Spread3h

Houthi has blocked the bab. Keep dumping notards. Hit my limit buy orders

👍1
T
Tragic-Limitation4h

Until houthis HIT a ship this + oil will not react imo

👍1
D
Deep-Terrarium-Harmonise4h

Houthi militants in Yemen on Monday declared a maritime embargo against Saudi Arabia effective immediately, threatening to exacerbate the oil supply disruption triggered by Iran’s attacks on tankers in the Strait of Hormuz.

👍1
W
Worthy-Lament6h

The Yemeni Armed Forces announce the prohibition of maritime navigation by the criminal Saudi enemy under the principle of "blockade for blockade." This decision enters into force from the moment this statement is issued.

👍1
W
Whole-Pork6h

Things are heating up

D
Determined-Remark1d

Why this didnt Sky rocket yes

W
Worthy-Lament1d

there's doubts about the Houthi's willingness/capacity to deliver and also how long it might take. I think the current prices are probably fair.

👍2
D
Determined-Remark1d

I see thanks

W
Worthy-Lament1d

I reckon it will jump as soon as a boat gets touched

I
Impartial-Sailboat2d

Iranian media is saying that the US targeted power plants, which was their red line for having the Houthis close baba ganoush

👍3
C
Corny-Spread2d

BREAKING: A source close to Iran's Ghalibaf says Yemen has begun blocking the Bab el-Mandab Strait, with initial warnings issued to passing ships in the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandab. He says, in the past 48 hours, two Iranian strikes on two ships off Oman's coast, additional warning shots, and one ship seized have been carried out, and a new formation has been established on the opposite side of Bab el-Mandab. The decision will be made at "zero hour."

👍1
B
Bulky-Antler3d

Babel Man Boob

👍2
How much do you want to put in?
$
You get back if each resolves Yes
August 31
20% chance · 5.1x
$42
+$34
September 30
23% chance · 4.3x
$36
+$27
December 31
33% chance · 3.0x
$25
+$17
None win
$0
-$25

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$8.33 × 3 outcomes · prices live on Polymarket CLOB
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Why this pack

Covers 3 mutually exclusive outcomes — profit whichever one resolves Yes, no need to pick just one.