MacroLive

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

2 outcomes · $168,338 24h volume

Put in any amount · it splits across 2 outcomes · you win on whichever one hits

Included marketsLive odds

no Fed rate cuts

85%

7d: +4.4%

1 Fed rate cut

11%

↓ 1.0% today

7d: -3.0%

Community96 total

Magnificent-Seizure5d

Soft PPI sinks the hike argument. Data don't lie. Hikes pushed to December while cuts is in the table.

Magnificent-Seizure6d

Soft CPI print would allow for possible rate cut in Oct/Dec with QT to offset it

Ugly-Hoof8d

12+ let's go! I told you guys. This year is not gonna end well for the worlds economy and then the Fed will have no other choice.

Ugly-Hoof10d

You guys don't know what's coming. Economies are going to collapse this fall. Interest rates will drop to zero. 12+ will give me a 300x return.

Intentional-Application11d

ye s s

High-Warning11d

Sticky inflation and hawkish Fed signals make zero or one 2026 rate cut the most plausible outcome

Tame-Superiority12d

odds can shift pretty quickly

👍1

Magnificent-Seizure14d

Watch Warsh would say policy is neutral then start rate cuts with QT

How much do you want to put in?

You get back if each resolves Yes

1 Fed rate cut

11% chance · 9.5x

$117

+$104

no Fed rate cuts

85% chance · 1.2x

$15

+$2

None win

-$25

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Why this pack

Covers 2 mutually exclusive outcomes — profit whichever one resolves Yes, no need to pick just one.