TF
Fund
Stake
GeneralLive

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

3 outcomes · $291,826 24h volume
Put in any amount · it splits across 3 outcomes · you win on whichever one hits
Included marketsLive odds
June 30
19%
3.0% today
7d: +3.0%
December 31
43%
3.0% today
7d: -1.0%
May 31
7%
2.3% today
7d: +1.6%
Community122 total
U
Unwilling-Pronoun5h

President Trump: ‘Iran is going to give us what we want, one way or another’

S
Subtle-Lord3d

dont touch this market, ruleset is fucked up

T
Threadbare-Signal3d

Run Forest, run :)

👍1
Q
Queasy-Regret6d

Regional dynamics are evolving faster than expected

👍1
A
Accomplished-Stain10d

The rules for this market appear flawed. Given that Iran has publicly agreed to transfer a portion of its enriched uranium stockpile—even if the US rejected the proposal—the criteria for a 'Yes' outcome have technically been met.

👍2
T
Threadbare-Signal9d

it is not a flaw, it is a feature :)

👍1
P
Popular-Scholarship11d

poly95 on this one basically ignores all the diplomatic framing and waits for an explicit surrender commitment.

E
Exotic-Inhibitor11d

sounds like they just agreed to this in their latest proposal, reported everywhere: Iran counter proposal to US peace plan has been leaked: -Iran refuses to dismantle its nuclear facilities will transfer limited amount of enriched uranium out of the country dilute the rest. -...

👍2
C
Confused-Criticism11d

it doesnt count , rule need iran publicly agree, and its just counter proposal , trump already reject

S
Shy-Integration11d

Trump promised Netanyahu not to abandon the Iranian enriched uranium - Channel 13, citing Israeli official

How much do you want to put in?
$
You get back if each resolves Yes
May 31
7% chance · 14.1x
$115
+$107
June 30
19% chance · 5.4x
$44
+$36
December 31
43% chance · 2.4x
$19
+$11
None win
$0
-$25

Auto-detects MetaMask / Phantom · bridges via LI.FI · bets on Polymarket

$8.33 × 3 outcomes · prices live on Polymarket CLOB
~2% fee on winnings only · slippage depends on order book depth
Why this pack

Covers 3 mutually exclusive outcomes — profit whichever one resolves Yes, no need to pick just one.