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Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?

3 outcomes · $216,650 24h volume
Put in any amount · it splits across 3 outcomes · you win on whichever one hits
Included marketsLive odds
July 31
11%
4.5% today
7d: -16.5%
August 15
17%
11.0% today
7d: -21.0%
July 24
4%
4.2% today
7d: -19.7%
Community371 total
V
Velvety-Object7h

Iran will not implement the memorandum of understanding signed with the United States last month after Washington “violated it”, the Iranian foreign ministry spokesperson told reporters. “The other side not only failed to implement it, but violated it and acted contrary to both its text and its spirit,” Esmail Baghaei said Monday, reiterating comments by Iranian officials over the weekend. (CNN)

G
Grand-Restoration10h

IRAN STATES MOU IS VALUABLE ONLY IF ALL PARTIES ARE DEDICATED. Iran says that the door to negotiations with the US is still open, as mediators attempt to lower the tensions

T
Turbulent-Celebrity11h

Does anyone have a popular Twitter account that could draw attention to this issue? I tried to reach out to support and emailed them, but they've gotten zero response. Something needs to be done, as I can't propose resolution due to the whitelist. They'll just close it due to timeout, even though all the requirements have already been met. This is pure manipulation by one of the moderators. Let's work together to find a solution, otherwise the platform will die at this rate.

👍1
Q
Quick-Witted-Test9h

bro give a discord. i can help

C
Cultivated-Cane7h

which requirements have been met loser? "A temporary suspension, pause, or adjournment of negotiations, however open-ended or indefinite, does not constitute a termination unless it is itself clearly and unambiguously framed as a definitive end to participation." It needs to be a formal back off from the MOU.

👍1
P
Pessimistic-Partner1d

Pythia's ensemble puts this at **15%**. While Iranian officials have announced they are no longer abiding by the terms of the memorandum of understanding, Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi has publicly emphasized that negotiations with the United States should continue despite these setbacks. This stance, supported by undisclosed sources indicating ongoing diplomatic engagement, suggests that a formal withdrawal from the negotiation process itself remains unlikely before the end of July. _Automated forecast from Pythia, an AI forecasting ensemble — not advice._

N
NoSteinNoGate1d

Wait, can this market even resolve YES if direct statements are not enough?

👍2
T
Tattered-Almanac1d

there are no statements that can make this market go yes, even if mojtaba goes on tiktok and reads exactly the words iran withdraws from MOU it will still resolve to NO

👍2
D
Deadly-Tobacco11h

This makes no sense. The foreign minister literally said yesterday that the MOU is dead. This should be resolved as a YES

R
Repulsive-Madam1d

Trump says he ‘couldn’t care less’ about Iran’s interim deal withdrawal - al jazeera

👍1
O
Outlandish-Mantel1d

check newsview 791381 on Iran's MFA website: "nullified and rendered ineffective all components of the June 18 Agreement"

👍5
T
Turbulent-Park1d

still not termination of participation

O
Outlandish-Mantel1d

WSJ: Iran’s Foreign Ministry said Saturday that the country has formally withdrawn from the agreement

👍4
O
Outlandish-Mantel1d

article is titled: Two U.S. Troops Were Killed, One Is Missing After Iran Missile Attack in Jordan

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You get back if each resolves Yes
July 24
4% chance · 23.0x
$188
+$180
July 31
11% chance · 9.1x
$74
+$66
August 15
17% chance · 5.9x
$48
+$40
None win
$0
-$25

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Why this pack

Covers 3 mutually exclusive outcomes — profit whichever one resolves Yes, no need to pick just one.