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Fund
Stake
GeneralLive

Iran leadership change by...?

4 outcomes · $135,270 24h volume
Put in any amount · it splits across 4 outcomes · you win on whichever one hits
Included marketsLive odds
December 31
24%
2.0% today
7d: +0.5%
June 30, 2027
33%
5.5% today
7d: +6.5%
July 31
4%
1.5% today
7d: -0.1%
September 30
13%
4.5% today
7d: -1.5%
Community1,081 total
G
Grumpy-Urn23h

the dead cannot die

👍4
E
Equatorial-Textual3h

Fact.

E
Excellent-Withdrawal1d

He is likely dead, and if not, he will get assassinated, Trump is sick of him

N
NoSteinNoGate1d

Can a dead person be a de facto leader? What would Saul Kripke think of this?

E
Excellent-Withdrawal1d

They will keep him as Zombie leader for the next 2-3 months and then replace him

D
Dull-Smith1d

The Saudi channel Al-Hadath claims, citing an Israeli security source: "Mojtaba Khamenei is not in Iran."

S
Sick-Waiting13d

Yall retarded? He went to his father's funeral yesterday.

D
Dull-Smith12d

As a ghost maybe

👍1
A
Academic-Forecast13d

I don't understand why the scandalous lack of any proof that Mojtaba is alive isn't being used as a major weapon against the regime.

D
Dull-Smith20d

He's dead and it's only a matter of time until it becomes known

👍2
E
Excellent-Withdrawal17d

Yup, though it won't happen on July, they have to finish this war face, the change will be a month or two after the negotiations (and war) ends

D
Dull-Smith17d

Yeah I probably made a mistake buying for July

E
Excellent-Withdrawal15d

You did, that's for sure, it will take a few months at the very least until they admit that he is dead

D
Dull-Smith15d

Yeah bro, I placed an order for june 2027

E
Excellent-Withdrawal12d

Yeah that one is free money, just sucks that it's going to be a while until we receive it

👍1
C
Capital-Representation21d

Leadership not gonna change by end of year

How much do you want to put in?
$
You get back if each resolves Yes
July 31
4% chance · 23.8x
$146
+$140
September 30
13% chance · 8.0x
$49
+$43
December 31
24% chance · 4.3x
$26
+$20
June 30, 2027
33% chance · 3.0x
$19
+$12
None win
$0
-$25

Auto-detects MetaMask / Phantom · bridges via LI.FI · bets on Polymarket

$6.25 × 4 outcomes · prices live on Polymarket CLOB
~2% fee on winnings only · slippage depends on order book depth
Why this pack

Covers 4 mutually exclusive outcomes — profit whichever one resolves Yes, no need to pick just one.