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Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

5 outcomes · $77,313 24h volume
Put in any amount · it splits across 5 outcomes · you win on whichever one hits
Included marketsLive odds
no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026
28%
7d: +2.5%
Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026
45%
1.4% today
7d: +1.2%
Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026
10%
Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026
6%
7d: +1.0%
Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026
4%
0.3% today
7d: -0.7%
Community97 total
G
Gleaming-Tassel20h

I don't really understand market even half-considering Burnham winning the by-election and then Starmer not being immediately thrown out. Is it not the universal understanding is that its leadership contest IMMEDIATELY should Burnham get in.

P
Pretty-Catalysis2d

starmer will stay

👍1
G
Gracious-Fame7d

Streeting bottled himself.

👍1
G
Gleaming-Tassel7d

Yeah Burnham not winning that seat LOL

I
Insignificant-Mystery6d

Going to be tough alright. A brief dip into Makerfield social media chats tells you they aren't going to roll over and have their tummies tickled!

S
Shiny-Scissors7d

MP stands down for Burnham to take the seat. Here we go!

A
Aged-Self8d

miliband or rayner, clearly...

👍1
R
Rusty-Chasm8d

Plenty of money to be made here as realistically only Streeting / Rayner / Carns and Miliband can run. Assuming they each get 81 MPs on board, which is unlikely

👍1
S
Shameful-Cinnamon7d

if starmer resigns anyone can run

I
Insignificant-Mystery7d

What seat would Burnham realistically run for to enable him to compete?

I
Insignificant-Mystery7d

Guess that question is answered 🤣

B
Bruised-Blessing8d

Wes Streeting can never win. Miliband is a lunatic that has already been rejected. Rayner's taxes are under investigation and in any case she is clearly not the brightest. IF they are sane, they will look for somebody that MIGHT be able to turn their fortunes around. There is only one man that fits the bill. Nigel will look like a tit trying to argue with someone more masculine and relatable to normal people than he is.

👍1
P
Pretty-Catalysis22h

the best plan logically is to just keep starmer and focus on delivering

How much do you want to put in?
$
You get back if each resolves Yes
Ed Miliband be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026
4% chance · 23.5x
$115
+$110
Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026
6% chance · 18.2x
$89
+$84
Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026
10% chance · 10.5x
$52
+$47
no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026
28% chance · 3.5x
$17
+$12
Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026
45% chance · 2.2x
$11
+$6
None win
$0
-$25

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Why this pack

Covers 5 mutually exclusive outcomes — profit whichever one resolves Yes, no need to pick just one.