GeneralLive
Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
2 outcomes · $15,845 24h volume
Put in any amount · it splits across 2 outcomes · you win on whichever one hits
Included marketsLive odds
be the hottest year on record
41%
↑ 4.0% today
7d: +7.0%
be the second-hottest year on record
57%
↑ 3.5% today
7d: -3.0%
Community28 total
D
Dimpled-Darn7d
polymarket perps, last few spots: 01kivwd2
F
Fearful-Consistency8d
i have heard that France is "burining"
D
Disgusting-Madam23d
Berkeley now gives 2.5% to "1"
F
Famous-Fallacy16d
Hansen et all believe this year will be number 1.
S
Short-Tunic26d
6 or lower
S
Short-Tunic33d
6
D
Disgusting-Madam41d
Berkeley Earth March 2026 Temperature Update gives a 5% chance of 2026 being the warmest year on record. "1" is way too high.
S
studmuffin696959d
in the US half the country does't believe in thermometers.
👍1
S
Superb-Jet73d
Seems fairly priced
👍1
How much do you want to put in?
$
You get back if each resolves Yes
be the hottest year on record
41% chance · 2.5x
$30
+$18
be the second-hottest year on record
57% chance · 1.7x
$22
+$9
None win
$0
-$25
Auto-detects MetaMask / Phantom · bridges via LI.FI · bets on Polymarket
$12.50 × 2 outcomes · prices live on Polymarket CLOB
~2% fee on winnings only · slippage depends on order book depth
Why this pack
Covers 2 mutually exclusive outcomes — profit whichever one resolves Yes, no need to pick just one.