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PoliticsLive

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

2 outcomes · $200,908 24h volume
Put in any amount · it splits across 2 outcomes · you win on whichever one hits
Included marketsLive odds
United Russia (ER)
56%
7d: +2.0%
New People (NL)
37%
0.1% today
7d: -1.7%
Community311 total
P
Pleasing-Thigh6h

¿Why the people are still betting for united russia? they obviously have not enough force to keep the mount. there is not any discussion about gain more

L
Limping-Bassoon8h

I'm not very experience in ru politic. Do New People (NL) really have a chance?

L
Limping-Bassoon22h

Communist Party underrated i see.

M
Mysterious-Sight2d

I don't understand people who bet on new people. In fact, it's the same United Russia, and everyone in Russia knows this and won't vote for them. I think some Americans are betting on them, thinking that new people are something liberal.

M
Mysterious-Sight2d

although in any case votes don't decide anything, they'll just draw 101% for United Russia as usual, like in the last 20 years.

S
Shrill-Racer1d

The vote isn't who's going to win it's who's going to gain the most seats. ER are -21 and NL are +35. ER are going to lose seats to NL which will give you the L. It's impossible for ER to gain seats in the current climate in Russia.

👍1
E
Energetic-Investigator2d

this is exactly why i copy trade

👍1
H
Hungry-Composite-Lawsuit2d

KPRF is soooo underrated

K
Knowing-Liquid3d

I know russian politics very well and can say for sure that 45% on United Russia "NO" is free money UR already has 324 out of 450 seats, so it is difficult for the party to make the biggest gain again. Other parties have much fewer seats, so even a small improvement can give them a bigger increase Also, VCIOM polls show that United Russia has a bad times. UR will probably remain the largest party, but it does not mean it will gain the most new deputies. I would put the probability that another party gets a bigger increase at around 65–70%

👍2
O
Outlying-Winery3d

Firstly, they have 310 seats at the moment. Secondly, it's not about percentages, but about the actual gain in nominal seats

K
Knowing-Liquid3d

Site that mentioned in context is showing 325 seats at the moment. I know that its about nominal seats, perhaps I didn’t express my point very clearly. What I meant is that it would be quite difficult for United Russia to gain even more seats, since they already have a very comfortable majority. For parties with limited representation in duma, however, increasing their number of seats is easier, especially for the NL who are starting from a very small base and whose popularity continues to grow

E
Extra-Small-Octave6d

In other words, will the party get more votes than last year?

How much do you want to put in?
$
You get back if each resolves Yes
New People (NL)
37% chance · 2.7x
$33
+$21
United Russia (ER)
56% chance · 1.8x
$22
+$9
None win
$0
-$25

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Why this pack

Covers the top 2 contenders — you profit whichever one takes it, without picking a single winner.