PoliticsLive
Which Senate Swing States will Republicans win?
4 outcomes · $12,819,339 24h volume
Put in any amount · it splits across 4 outcomes · you win on whichever one hits
Included marketsLive odds
Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats
23%
↓ 2.0% today
Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas
13%
↑ 5.5% today
Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas
11%
↑ 3.0% today
Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas
5%
↓ 1.5% today
Community
A
Awesome-Availability8h
who is pricing these markets
L
Little-Anguish1d
holy shit, just looking at all the options gave me more anxiety than actually having money on all the other midterm markets
👍3
G
Golden-Adaptation2d
this market seems like a trap
👍2
I
Innocent-Anteater2d
man the volume is sooo low how much would one of you fill me for on IA, TX, KS???
👍1
S
Scarce-Footnote2d
128 combinations
How much do you want to put in?
$
You get back if each resolves Yes
Republicans win Kansas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas
5% chance · 22.2x
$136
+$130
Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas
11% chance · 9.2x
$57
+$50
Republicans win Iowa and Kansas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas
13% chance · 7.7x
$47
+$41
Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats
23% chance · 4.4x
$27
+$21
None win
$0
-$25
Auto-detects MetaMask / Phantom · bridges via LI.FI · bets on Polymarket
$6.25 × 4 outcomes · prices live on Polymarket CLOB
~2% fee on winnings only · slippage depends on order book depth
Why this pack
Covers the top 4 contenders — you profit whichever one takes it, without picking a single winner.